Will there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event
5
110Ṁ281
2065
87%
chance

Period will be defined as from when the 100th agentic AI human death is identified and agreed upon (list and method TBD) and the first human gigadeath (10^9)

Assumes a start date of no earlier than 1 Jan 2023

Edited - note risks to both liquidity and resolution of events around gigadeaths

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