• The date will be the date of the release of the pathogen, not the date when it causes the deaths. This may require a delay in the resolution of the market. Similarly, establishing the cause of such a pandemic may require some delay to the resolution of the market.
• Market will be resolved according to official deaths (even though there are known issues with these figures)
• Whether an incident was AI-assisted or not will be resolved based upon on an official government investigation into the incident. Claims from a government that is unreliable will be disregarded.
• I just realised that I didn't actually manage to make the years unambiguous. So the period 2030-2035 includes 2030, but ends at the start of 2035. "Never or after 2045" actually means after the beginning of 2045.
Happy to further clarify the resolution criteria.