Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?
Basic
16
551
2026
70%
chance

Artificial intelligence safety is an area of research focused on ensuring that AI systems are developed and deployed responsibly, avoiding unintended consequences and minimizing risks associated with their use. Some individuals, driven by the urgency of the issue, might resort to extreme measures to raise awareness or promote AI safety, potentially leading to criminal activities.

Will an individual be arrested in the United States for a felony offense committed with the intention of advancing AI safety before January 1st, 2026?

Resolution Criteria:

This question will resolve to "YES" if, before January 1st, 2026, an individual is arrested in the United States for a felony offense that meets the following criteria:

  1. The offense is demonstrably linked to the promotion of AI safety, such as:
    a. Acts aimed at halting the development or deployment of an AI system perceived as unsafe.
    b. Acts of sabotage or cyberattacks targeting AI systems or infrastructure for the purpose of preventing potential harm.
    c. The release of sensitive information or classified documents related to AI safety concerns or alleged AI safety violations.

  2. The individual arrested or apprehended claims, in a public statement or through credible evidence, that their actions were motivated by the goal of advancing AI safety. Credible evidence may include, but is not limited to:
    a. A public statement or manifesto, in written or recorded form, outlining the individual's intent to advance AI safety by committing the felony offense. The statement should provide specific details about the perceived risks and concerns regarding AI safety and explain how the offense is aimed at mitigating those risks or raising awareness about them.

    b. A documented history of the individual's involvement in AI safety advocacy or research, including membership in AI safety-focused organizations, participation in AI safety conferences, or publication of AI safety-related research or opinion pieces.

    c. Communication records, such as emails, text messages, or social media posts, demonstrating that the individual discussed their concerns about AI safety and planned the felony offense as a means to address those concerns.

    d. Testimonies from credible witnesses, such as friends, family members, or colleagues, who can attest to the individual's longstanding commitment to AI safety and their belief that committing the felony offense would further the cause of AI safety.

  3. The felony offense meets the definition of a felony under U.S. federal or state law, and the individual is charged with the felony.


The question will be resolved using the question creator's discretion, possibly in consultation with legal experts. Additional details or clarifications may be provided as needed.


Note: The creation of this question does not endorse or promote criminal activities in the name of AI safety. This question is intended solely for prediction purposes.

Get Ṁ600 play money