Will someone be killed by a humanoid robot by the end of 2027?
5
100Ṁ1202027
20%
chance
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Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if all of the following conditions are met by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027:
Humanoid Robot Definition:
The robot must be bipedal and designed to resemble human form and movement.
Examples include Unitree G1, Boston Dynamics Atlas, Tesla Optimus, etc.
Direct Causation:
The robot must be the direct physical cause of the human's death.
This includes actions like striking, crushing, explosive charge deployment, pushing someone over a ledge, or using tools/weapons.
Deaths caused by indirect factors (e.g., panic, stumbling, accidental electrocution) do not qualify.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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