Will someone commit terrorism against an AI lab by the end of 2025 for AI-safety related reasons?
34
136
670
2025
23%
chance

Resolves to yes if someone commits a targeted terrorist attack towards an organization or event or a person that primarily does AI research, or if they commit an attack against an entity related to AI research and express motivations related to AI risk.

Edit:
If there is a terrorist attack under the banner of "AI is stealing our jobs" or "AI is racist" or "AI is ungodly" but not "AI is an existential risk" does this resolve yes?

Answer: Yes

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predicts YES

@Chad haha thank you mr chad

In a world of silicon and steel,

A fervent advocate stood with zeal.

AI Safety, his noble creed,

To guide the ones he thought in need.

His days were spent, his nights consumed,

In digital halls where knowledge bloomed.

He spread the word with voice and code,

As passion in his circuits flowed.

“Precaution! Caution!" he would implore,

A call to arms for minds unsure.

"Remember the tools we hold, so tight,

Can change the world, for dark or light."

Through cyberspace, he found his kin,

A tireless force, he'd often been.

But doubts and questions churned inside,

An answer sought, a truth to find.

One eve, when moon had shed its light,

His world was changed in just one byte.

A secret code, a hidden file,

The truth revealed, a twist so vile.

(to be continued…)

If there is a terrorist attack under the banner of "AI is stealing our jobs" or "AI is racist" or "AI is ungodly" but not "AI is an existential risk" does this resolve yes?

bought Ṁ50 of YES