Will I win my bet with Robin Hanson about AGI coming before ems?
45
2kṀ1710
2300
92%
chance
On October 3rd 2021, Robin Hanson tweeted (https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1444765968987824140), > OK, so to summarize a proposal: I'd bet my $1K to your $9K (both increased by S&P500 scale factor) that when US labor participation rate < 10%, em-like automation will contribute more to GDP than AGI-like. And we commit our descendants to the bet. I replied, > I agree to this bet. This question resolves to YES if either Robin Hanson concedes the bet to me, or it is clear that I have won, even in the absence of a clear concession by Robin Hanson. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
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Hanson insisting on EMs is a bizarre denial of evidence

Dudes will literally write hundreds of pages about “fake humans” to act out their master-slave fantasy

It’s more like 🐙 will dominate the labor supply before “emulated brains”

One of the worst ideas of all time

At the current market price, Robin is winning.

kind of wack to commit your descendants to it though

@L pretty sure in no western countries it is legal

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