Will X/Elon Musk achieve AGI by next year?
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1.5kṀ16k
Dec 31
4%
chance

Will X/Elon achieve AGI by next year?

Reports say Elon wants 100,000 GPUs for his xAI supercomputer - it took 20,000 GPUs to train Grok 2.

https://www.reuters.com/technology/elon-musk-plans-xai-supercomputer-information-reports-2024-05-25/

Resolution criteria:

AGI - Artificial general intelligence (AGI) is a field of theoretical AI research that attempts to create software with human-like intelligence and the ability to self-teach. The aim is for the software to be able to perform tasks that it is not necessarily trained or developed for - to be achieved by x/Elon by this time next year for this market to resolve YES.

If AGI is not achieved/confirmed by a reasonable standard - this market will resolve as No.

Updates - 04/06

"Elon Musk ordered Nvidia to ship thousands of AI chips reserved for Tesla to X and xAI"

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/04/elon-musk-told-nvidia-to-ship-ai-chips-reserved-for-tesla-to-x-xai.html

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