This can resolve to multiple partial answers if the territory of Gaza as of 2023 is divided between multiple states. The market will resolve based on successor states of the given answers if states are renamed, for example.
1,000
3.00@MartinRandall So if the status quo remains, this doesn't resolve, right? Because it's not controlled by a sovereign state.
@Shump Right. It's pending resolution. People can help resolve this market by spreading peace and democracy and self-determination and justice.
@Daniel_MC If Israel annexes it and claims it as part of Israel, and this is de facto recognized, then it resolves to Israel.
@MartinRandall I may be ignorant or splitting hairs here, but does this mean Israeli governance is de facto recognized as an effective or functional reality on the ground? Or does it mean that it is internationally recognized as a legitimate annexation? (I guess that might be de jure) Also how many countries/entities have to recognize something before it becomes a satisfying answer to the poll?
@JesseTate This is part of international law so it is not especially clear when an annexation is recognized. I would count Israel's annexation of Jerusalem and Russia's annexation of Crimea at this time, for the purpose of a market like this.
@toms Or Palestine if that is a recognized sovereign state prior to the formation of Israel-Palestine.
Can we have an option for Gaza as an independent state? See https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/a-three-state-solution-is-the-only for instance.
