Would you say that right now Palestine is a sovereign state?

@Shump No.

@MartinRandall Good, just checking after seeing some other market creators with weird definitions.

@MartinRandall So if the status quo remains, this doesn't resolve, right? Because it's not controlled by a sovereign state.

@Shump Right. It's pending resolution. People can help resolve this market by spreading peace and democracy and self-determination and justice.

How will this resolve if Israel re-occupies Gaza?

@Daniel_MC If Israel annexes it and claims it as part of Israel, and this is de facto recognized, then it resolves to Israel.

@MartinRandall I may be ignorant or splitting hairs here, but does this mean Israeli governance is de facto recognized as an effective or functional reality on the ground? Or does it mean that it is internationally recognized as a legitimate annexation? (I guess that might be de jure) Also how many countries/entities have to recognize something before it becomes a satisfying answer to the poll?

@JesseTate This is part of international law so it is not especially clear when an annexation is recognized. I would count Israel's annexation of Jerusalem and Russia's annexation of Crimea at this time, for the purpose of a market like this.

How would this resolve if it became a part of a binational state of Israel-Palestine?

@toms Israel if it is a "successor state" to Israel

@toms Or Palestine if that is a recognized sovereign state prior to the formation of Israel-Palestine.

Can we have an option for Gaza as an independent state? See https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/a-three-state-solution-is-the-only for instance.

A three-state solution is the only viable future for Israel and the Palestinians

Ethnic cleansing is off the table, and non-contiguous states just don't work.

@manifoldaccount sure! I thought I was the only one who thought that was worth considering