Tontine | Manifold

Tontine

36

2.8kṀ20k

2030

29%

13%

11%

5%

5%

4%

4%

3%

@WilliamEhlhardt

3%

2%

@CamillePerrin (NO)

1.9%

1.9%

@jgyou aka JGY

1.6%

1.4%

1.3%

1.3%

1.3%

1.2%

Other

1.1%

1%

@AnthonyPeterson

Closed to new entries. New entries submitted after 2024-01-01 resolve NO.

Your answer resolves NO when someone notices that you stop using Manifold for 30 days and posts a comment to that effect. Using Manifold means making a bet or trade.

The market resolves in the following cases:

There is only one person left.
Everyone left agrees to end the tontine and divide the pool.
I am unable to continue running the market or hand it over to someone else.

Whenever the market resolves, it resolves equally to all remaining people.

I will not bet in this market.

Tontine Prophecy

Commitment Devices

New Year's Resolutions 2024

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

When will Tontine pay out?

Will Tontine ever pay out?

During which year will the Tontine surviving player count reach 100?

Will the Tontine surviving player count be 142 (1/50) or less as of 2026-1-1?

Will the Tontine surviving player count be 100 or less as of 2026-1-1?

In Tontine, which will be the first color to go extinct?

Related questions

When will Tontine pay out?

Will Tontine ever pay out?

During which year will the Tontine surviving player count reach 100?

Will the Tontine surviving player count be 142 (1/50) or less as of 2026-1-1?

Will the Tontine surviving player count be 100 or less as of 2026-1-1?

In Tontine, which will be the first color to go extinct?

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