During which year will the Tontine surviving player count reach 100?
2
36
Ṁ288Ṁ145
2030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
24%
2026 or earlier
42%
2027
14%
2028
13%
2029
8%
https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-8-31, 378 players remain.
The market resolves to the choice whose corresponding year includes the first day on which the living count is 100 or less, and resolves at 12:05 AM EST on that day or as soon as possible after that. "Other" will be used to extend closing dates if the population is still above 100 at the default closing date, which is 2030-1-1. It resolves to to N/A if the game is canceled for any reason.
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