MANIFOLD
Tontine
39
á¹€2.8ká¹€27k
2030
3%
@jgyou aka JGY
1.5%
1.4%
1.1%
Other
1%

Closed to new entries. New entries submitted after 2024-01-01 resolve NO.

Your answer resolves NO when someone notices that you stop using Manifold for 30 days and posts a comment to that effect. Using Manifold means making a bet or trade.

The market resolves in the following cases:

  • There is only one person left.

  • Everyone left agrees to end the tontine and divide the pool.

  • I am unable to continue running the market or hand it over to someone else.

Whenever the market resolves, it resolves equally to all remaining people.

I will not bet in this market.

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bought á¹€10 NO

roma had a gap in usage, though they seem back 🤷

@jgyou 😅 My reading of the rules is that it's by design that you squeak by if you have a gap that no one calls out here in the comments in time.

I’ve placed a large order limit on myself, in case anyone wants to take a larger position

filled a á¹€5,000 NO at 25% order

@Gabrielle I will never log off

tiswtr, SeraphinaNix, AnthonyPeterson, and SnoozingNewt are out (updated)

opened a á¹€10,000 YES at 25% order

ArkPoint, Charlie, and Case are out (updated)

Could someone (creator or mod) update options with "(NO)" who are out? From comments below, I believe that includes:

  • Nikos

  • AlexBGoode

  • JoshuaB

  • vansh

@jcb I welcome mods doing this as they come across it.

I believe @CamillePerrin is out (ie, active but no trades/bets in the last month)

@dreev 😭😭😭 (indeed correct)

@CamillePerrin Very glad you didn't disappear for real! I kind of feel weird calling people out here, though I realize that's the whole point of this tontine.

bought á¹€10 YES

Sound-off, who's still alive?

I’m still alive!

I'm not online enough to have such a streak but I'm alive

@Joshua I am dead

Confirmed, @AlexbGoode is sadly out.

bought á¹€350 NO

I believe @Nikos is out 😭

sold á¹€4 YES

Looks like JoshuaB is out too

SeraphinaNix does not exist any more, did they just change usernames, or are they gone?

boughtá¹€446 NO

must have been a misclick. adjusted a few oops. now I must root for your demise

@MartinRandall @firstuserhere and @brubsby resolve ‘NO’

Thanks. I can't resolve till the end though, due to Manifold limits on linked markets.

I can't find brubsby in the list...

bought á¹€5 NO

bought á¹€300 NO

brubs has a large limit at 1% there, if anyone is willing to eat it up for an unknown amount of time (:sob: I miss loans)

scratch that, might not be buyable. the UI at least tries to refund you before buying it

Maybe make a no limit order at 1% and see if it cancels out? Sounds like a bug though.

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