This topic is explicitly & exclusively intended for clear-eyed prophecy about the future of the game of Tontine. Markets in it are thus liable to resolve early & without warning around midnights EST/EDT, owing to the nature of the game.

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot & have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT, else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-9-15, 365 players remain.

Public-access sheet with historic population counts: 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oOhSmHcWT7DWHBbNKaHvplUcERxS5XBUwXUNJyfRdR8/edit#gid=0

Tontine: everybody buys in, and the last person alive takes the pot. Log in every day to confirm you’re still alive.

Tontine Prophecy