Hakeem Jeffries loses a primary in 2026?
5
100Ṁ137
2026
15%
chance

A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll seems to show that Democrats are heavily in favor of a change in leadership - and first-round results from the NYC Mayoral primary shows Mamdani winning over Cuomo by about 7 percentage points. In spite of this, Jeffries has held back on endorsing Mamdani, and seemingly hasn't changed tactics to seize the narrative. Will House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries be challenged in and then lose any Democratic primary in 2026?

Any primary counts. The obvious one is if he loses the primary for his seat in the House, but even if he decides to run for senate or something instead and loses that primary, this resolves YES. If Jeffries changes affiliation or doesn't run in 2026, this question resolves N/A.

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