How many Reform councillors will have left the Party by the May 2026 elections.
3
151Ṁ842026
14%
1-5
16%
6-10
17%
11-15
20%
16-20
28%
20+
5%
This market predicts the number of Reform UK councillors who will be suspended, banned or otherwise leave the party before the May 2026 local elections. Given recent suspensions due to offensive remarks and internal disputes, this market aims to gauge the party's internal stability. Resolution will be based on official announcements from Reform UK or credible news sources.
Update 2025-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that hopenothate.org.uk is being used as a credible news source for the purpose of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
171
Will Reform win the next UK election?
27% chance
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
7.2
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
25% chance
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?
16% chance
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
21% chance
Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?
How many seats will be won by Estonian Reform Party in the next Estonian parliamentary election?