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Which of the following states will have a poll showing Trump leading in the presidential election?
Basic
19
แน4.4kNov 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
30%
New Mexico
22%
Illinois
20%
Colorado
20%
Connecticut
18%
Maine (statewide, after ranked choice)
14%
Maryland
13%
Hawaii
12%
Delaware
Resolved
YESMinnesota
Resolved
YESNew Jersey
Poll that is either included in the 538 database or reported on by a reputable news organization as an internal poll commissioned by a campaign or partisan organization.
Resolves regardless of who the Democratic nominee is.
Get แน1,000 play money
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So this closes July 28th? Are you only counting polls between now and then, or until election day, or something else?
Maine (statewide, after ranked choice)
New Jersey
@MarkHamill Trump leading by 1 point in latest poll https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/new-jersey/
Minnesota
@MarkHamill Trump is leading in several recent polls here, so shouldn't it resolve yes immediately? https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/minnesota/
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