A state will resolve YES if its electoral college votes for the winner of the 2024 Presidential Election.
A state will resolve NO if its electoral college votes for the loser of the 2020 Presidential Election.
Will resolve after the election results are certified by congress.
helpful tools:
Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
how the US election works
Relevant Manifold Politics Markets:
Pennsylvania market
Michigan Market
Nevada Market
Arizona Market
Wisconsin Market
North Carolina Market
Georgia Market
i expect this market to show a rough estimate of how important certain states are at securing a win in this election, with the main factors being the amount of electoral votes and margin size of polls leading up to the election in each state compared to the current odds for the winner of the election.
comment questions or news!