Which of these U.S. states will swing Republican from 2020 to 2024?
Plus
40
Ṁ3594Dec 6
44%
Michigan
67%
Nevada
65%
Pennsylvania
67%
Georgia
76%
Arizona
48%
Wisconsin
57%
North Carolina
88%
Florida
Resolves YES for states that vote more Republican for president in 2024 compared to 2020, percentage wise.
States that swing Democratic resolve NO.
Specific details:
Resolves YES if the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2024 presidential election is greater than the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2020 presidential election within a given state.
Approximate 2020 margins:
Arizona: -0.31%
Florida: 3.36%
Georgia: -0.24%
Michigan: -2.78%
Nevada: -2.39%
North Carolina: 1.35%
Pennsylvania: -1.16%
Wisconsin: -0.63%
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