Which of these U.S. states will swing Republican from 2020 to 2024?
18
63
แน€880
Dec 6
63%
Michigan
80%
Nevada
57%
Pennsylvania
79%
Georgia
79%
Arizona
72%
Wisconsin
80%
North Carolina
81%
Florida

Resolves YES for states that vote more Republican for president in 2024 compared to 2020, percentage wise.

States that swing Democratic resolve NO.


Specific details:

Resolves YES if the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2024 presidential election is greater than the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2020 presidential election within a given state.

Approximate 2020 margins:

Arizona: -0.31%

Florida: 3.36%

Georgia: -0.24%

Michigan: -2.78%

Nevada: -2.39%

North Carolina: 1.35%

Pennsylvania: -1.16%

Wisconsin: -0.63%

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Good idea