Which of these U.S. states will swing Republican from 2020 to 2024?
Basic
38
แน2.8kDec 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
64%
Michigan
82%
Nevada
71%
Pennsylvania
70%
Georgia
79%
Arizona
64%
Wisconsin
75%
North Carolina
78%
Florida
Resolves YES for states that vote more Republican for president in 2024 compared to 2020, percentage wise.
States that swing Democratic resolve NO.
Specific details:
Resolves YES if the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2024 presidential election is greater than the Republican vote share of total minus the Democratic vote share of total in the 2020 presidential election within a given state.
Approximate 2020 margins:
Arizona: -0.31%
Florida: 3.36%
Georgia: -0.24%
Michigan: -2.78%
Nevada: -2.39%
North Carolina: 1.35%
Pennsylvania: -1.16%
Wisconsin: -0.63%
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