Where will Donald Trump win more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election than he did in the 2020 election?
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49
2.5k
2026
82%
New York (3,251,997 votes for Trump in 2020)
77%
Nebraska (556,846 votes for Trump in 2020)
71%
North Dakota (235,751 votes for Trump in 2020)
71%
Oklahoma (1,020,280 votes for Trump in 2020)
70%
Ohio (3,154,834 votes for Trump in 2020)
68%
Montana (343,602 votes for Trump in 2020)
66%
South Carolina (1,385,103 votes for Trump in 2020)
64%
Massachusetts (1,167,202 votes for Trump in 2020)
61%
Wyoming (193,559 votes for Trump in 2020)
59%
Connecticut (714,717 votes for Trump in 2020)
59%
New Mexico (401,894 votes for Trump in 2020)
58%
Mississippi (756,764 votes for Trump in 2020)
58%
Utah (865,140 votes for Trump in 2020)
58%
Alaska (189,951 votes for Trump in 2020)
58%
Missouri (1,718,736 votes for Trump in 2020)
58%
Nevada (669,890 votes for Trump in 2020)
58%
South Dakota (261,043 votes for Trump in 2020)
58%
West Virginia (545,382 votes for Trump in 2020)
57%
Texas (5,890,347 votes for Trump in 2020)
56%
Idaho (554,119 votes for Trump in 2020)

Answers where Donald Trump wins more (i.e. a higher absolute number of) votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election will resolve YES. Otherwise that answer will resolve NO.

If it's close enough for any answer such that different sources come to different answers for the purposes of resolution, the Federal Election Commission's numbers will be the source upon which resolution will be based.

Numbers for the 2020 election are taken from the FEC's report: https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2020.pdf

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California is wrong, the figure you show is the number of votes for biden.

@EddisonChen Thanks, fixed

bought Ṁ10 Answer #2d9165eda891 NO

2020 was unusually high turnout. I'd expect 2024 to be lower across the board

@ShakedKoplewitz in principle also worth looking at population growth across different states, but eh too much work

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