How many states will Trump flip in 2024 [cumulative]?

Basic

49

แน7.8kNov 5

1D

1W

1M

ALL

85%

At least 1 state

45%

At least 2 states

20%

At least 3 states

16%

At least 4 states

11%

At least 5 states

7%

At least 6 states

2%

At least 7 states

1.4%

At least 8 states

1.1%

At least 9 states

1%

At least 10 states

How many states will Donald Trump flip in 2024 (from 2020 baseline)? This doesn't include DC or split electoral votes in Maine or Nebraska, it's just based on who wins the whole state.

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this market seems to hugely disagree about the election odds compared to the main us election since its impossible for trump to win without flipping 2 states and flipping 2 states is a 34% and trumps odds of victory are ~45% and this doesnt even consider the chances of 2 states getting flipped without trump winning

@traders I'm moving forward the close date to be before rather than after the election, so people can't just trade with knowledge of the result.

## Related questions

## Related questions

Will Trump win 2024 elections?

47% chance

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For each state, will Trump win the 2024 presidential election if he wins the state?

Close states: How many of 13 will flip in the 2024 Pres. Election? (AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI)

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Will the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Trump in 2020?

46% chance

If Trump became the GOP nominee Which states will be won by him in 2024 presidential election? [200M subsidy]

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