Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
31
Ṁ100Ṁ2.7kDec 30
44%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
The market resolves YES if Democrats win a majority of the 100 Senate seats following elections in 2026. The Democrats would need 51 seats to control the chamber.
If seat >= 51
resolve as YES
If seat < 51
resolve as NO
If the election is cancelled
resolve as NO
If the election is not held during 2026 (election day in 2027 or later)
resolve as NO
If the Democratic Party changes its name before election day
resolve as NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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