This market resolves YES if Wisconsin Question 2 (Freedom to gather in places of worship during an emergency. Shall section 18 of article I of the constitution, which deals with religious liberty, be amended to prohibit the state or a political subdivision of the state from ordering the closure of, or forbidding gatherings in, places of worship in response to a state of emergency, including a public health emergency?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of votes cast on the question (Wis. Const. art. XII, sec. 1)

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Amends art. I sec. 18 to prohibit state/local orders closing or forbidding gatherings in places of worship during a state of emergency.

• NO: Art. I sec. 18 unchanged.

Results: resolves on the result certified by Wisconsin Elections Commission. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.co.portage.wi.gov/DocumentCenter/View/7368/Type-C-Notice-for-Ref-for-November-2026-General-Election_Final-12-PT