This market resolves YES if Indiana Public Question 1 (Shall the Constitution of the State of Indiana be amended to provide that a person charged with an offense other than murder or treason is not entitled to bail if: (1) the proof is evident or the presumption strong; and (2) the state proves by clear and convincing evidence that no release conditions will reasonably protect the safety of any other person or the community? (Article 1, Section 17)) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of votes cast on the public question (Ind. Const. art. 16, sec. 1)

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Amends Art. 1 sec. 17 to allow denial of bail for any offense when the proof standard and clear-and-convincing public-safety showing are met.

• NO: Only murder and treason remain non-bailable when proof is evident or presumption strong.

Results: resolves on the result certified by Indiana Secretary of State / Election Division (state canvass). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.in.gov/counties/noble/files/2026-general-election-sample-balllots/P2OUT.pdf