Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Wisconsin Question 1 (limit on partial veto to raise taxes/fees) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
1
Ṁ1kṀ250
Nov 4
61%
chance

This market resolves YES if Wisconsin Question 1 (Partial veto. Shall section 10 (1) (c) of article V of the constitution be amended to prohibit the governor, in exercising his or her partial veto authority, from creating or increasing or authorizing the creation or increase of any tax or fee?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of votes cast on the question (Wis. Const. art. XII, sec. 1)

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

  • YES: Amends art. V sec. 10(1)(c) so a partial veto may not create, increase, or authorize creating or increasing any tax or fee.

  • NO: Art. V sec. 10(1)(c) unchanged.

Results: resolves on the result certified by Wisconsin Elections Commission. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.co.portage.wi.gov/DocumentCenter/View/7368/Type-C-Notice-for-Ref-for-November-2026-General-Election_Final-12-PT

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!