This market resolves YES if Wisconsin Question 3 (Governmental entity discrimination prohibited. Shall section 27 of article I of the constitution be created to prohibit governmental entities in the state from discriminating against, or granting preferential treatment to, any individual or group on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in public employment, public education, public contracting, or public administration?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of votes cast on the question (Wis. Const. art. XII, sec. 1)

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Creates art. I sec. 27 prohibiting governmental discrimination or preferential treatment on those bases, with exceptions for federal-funding eligibility, federal law, and bona fide sex-based qualifications.

• NO: No new constitutional provision is added.

Results: resolves on the result certified by Wisconsin Elections Commission. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.co.portage.wi.gov/DocumentCenter/View/7368/Type-C-Notice-for-Ref-for-November-2026-General-Election_Final-12-PT