This market resolves YES if Virginia Question 2 (Should the Constitution of Virginia be amended to (i) remove the ban on same-sex marriage; (ii) affirm that two adults may marry regardless of sex, gender, or race; and (iii) require all legally valid marriages to be treated equally under the law?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of those voting on the amendment (Va. Const. art. XII, sec. 1).

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Removes the one-man-one-woman marriage ban from Art. I Sec. 15-A; adds that marriage is a vital personal right; state may not deny a license to two adults based on sex, gender or race and must recognize such marriages equally (official explanation).

• NO: Ban stays in the Constitution; unenforceable under Obergefell v. Hodges (2015) but would become enforceable again if that decision were overturned (official 'Present Law').

Results: resolves on the result certified by Virginia State Board of Elections / Department of Elections. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-constitutional-amendment-question-2/