Will the Republicans control the US Senate after the 2024 election?
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Jan 20
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This question resolves after the Associated Press projects which party will control the United States Senate following the 2024 US general election and all relevant runoff/special elections.

This question resolves YES if the Republican Party will be in control, or NO otherwise. This question will wait to resolve until 48 hours after the senate majority has been called by the AP, to ensure that the call is not retracted.

  • In a 50-50 tie, this will depend on the party of the Vice President after the presidential race is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.

  • If there are independents/3rd party winners that are known to be intending to caucus with a major party (GOP or Democrats), they will be included as part of party control.

  • If at the time of the general election there are already scheduled special elections on which control hinges, or a runoff is triggered by the general election, this question will wait for those to resolve.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought π•Š5.00 NO

If there's an independent that doesn't caucus with either party, leaving, for example, a 50-49 split with the 49 party holding the presidency, how would this resolve? NO to both Democrat and Republican control?