Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2028 elections?
5
110Ṁ962028
73%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if after the 2028 United States elections members of the Republican party have won at least 51 seats in the Senate, or 50 seats with a Republican Vice President for tie-breaking purposes. Resolves NO otherwise.
If a politically independent/third-party senator is elected, they would count as a Republican for the purposes of this market if they are widely expected to caucus with the Republican party.
Resolves N/A if these elections do not take place.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
75% chance
Republicans win 2028 election?
45% chance
Will a Republican be elected president in 2028?
43% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2030 elections?
69% chance
Will democrats win the presidency, the House and the Senate in the 2028 election?
18% chance
Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2024?/Will a Republican win the US presidential election in 2028?
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
18% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
57% chance
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
16% chance