Will Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
5
100Ṁ56Nov 6
65%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve. Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
62% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
33% chance
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
36% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
13% chance
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
13% chance
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
88% chance
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2028 elections?
46% chance