Resolves 100% to the person who wins the majority of votes for US President in the Electoral College in 2028, or selected by Congress following the contingency procedure in the Twelfth Amendment.
This market may resolve prior to official certification of the electoral college votes if the election has been called by all major decision desks.
Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.
See also:
/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-be-the-two-major-party-nom
/DylanSlagh/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-9a306926e237
another market on the same thing: https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
oh. I misread
Also, even if she loses this year, she's likely to be the democratic nominee in 2028 as long as she doesn't completely fumble it. Democrats will remember how quickly she was able to turn the vibes, energy, and polling around from what felt like almost a certain loss (not to mention the fundraising). She'll predictably make a case in this scenario that if only she had had the time to run a full campaign, she could have secured a victory.