
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Anyone that adds a new candidate and bets for them will get a Ṁ10 subsidy for their contribution of new information and potentially new candidates.
People are also trading
Arbitrage opportunities here: https://manifold.markets/DionysusTheMad/which-party-will-win-the-2028-us-pr-E8CyqPtIAN
@nixtoshi I was going to ask the same question - maybe add a warning that the people voting for "Other Republican", "Other Democrat" and "Other Trump" are very unlikely to win?