Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election?

Premium

Ṁ39k

2028

30%

Other

23%

JD Vance (Vice President)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

1.9%

Mark Cuban

1.5%

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

1.1%

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Resolves 50% each to the two people who are the nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties in 2028, at the end of whichever national convention happens second.

Any change in the nominees after the conclusion of the second convention will not effect the resolution of this market.

Additional likely candidates will be added by the house as necessary and will split off from "other". Please leave a comment if you have any suggestions.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Politics

#🇺🇸 US Politics

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Since this market resolves at 50% for the democratic nominee, Kamala is way overpriced at 35% (taking the 2024 odds for Kamala she should be priced at 0.5 * 0.53 = 26.5%).

sold Ṁ475 Kamala Harris (Vice ... YES

Oh crap, I completely misunderstood this market.

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