What will Donald Trump promise to do in June 2024? (free response)
69
4.7kṀ19k
resolved Jul 8
Resolved
YES
Make America great again.
Resolved
YES
Appeal a verdict
Resolved
YES
Close the Department of Education
Resolved
N/A
Beat Joe Biden and/or the democrats
Resolved
NO
Make a peace deal with Putin
Resolved
NO
Cast Communists/Marxists out of government
Resolved
NO
Drain the swamp.
Resolved
NO
Build a bigger wall
Resolved
NO
Commute the sentence of Silk Road Founder Ross Ulbricht
Resolved
NO
Sponsor "Freedom Cities" on federal lands
Resolved
NO
Keep Elizabeth Warren(specifically) away from Bitcoin
Resolved
NO
Pass an abortion ban of 15 weeks or less
Resolved
NO
Debate RFK Jr.
Resolved
NO
Make Bitcoin a legal tender
Resolved
NO
Buy Greenland
Resolved
NO
Legalize political betting

If Donald Trump is shown to have promised in June 2024 to do something that is an option in this market, that option will resolve YES.

Anyone can submit answers to this market, and any number of answers can resolve YES. Options may be edited for clarity, to make resolution more predictable.


Resolution Rules:

  • Proof must be posted before market close on July 1st for a YES resolution, all options without proof resolve NO by default. Proof should typically be in the form of a video of Trump saying something in June, an article quoting Trump from an event in June, a new post on truth social, or a new statement from the campaign.

  • These do not have to be new promises, most cases will probably be Trump restating a previous promise. If you add a promise Trump has previously made, please provide a link in the comments to when he made it.

  • Trump does not have to use the word promise, it is sufficient for him to say that he will do something or that he will attempt to do something. However, saying that he might do something and hasn't decided would not count as a promise.

  • Trump does not have to say the exact same thing as a submitted answer here for the option to resolve YES, but specific promise in this market will not resolve YES just because Trump makes a much broader promise that might include it. For example, Trump saying only "secure the border" does not resolve the option "build a bigger wall" to YES. However, in cases where both a YES or NO resolution would be reasonable this market will err towards YES resolutions.


You can find compilations of Trump's promises on Politifact, CNN, Wikipedia, and Trump's campaign website. Some notable ones:

These are all options in this market, and if Trump repeats these promises in June those options will resolve to YES. Feel free to submit any other promises from those lists you think he might repeat, or any new promises you think he might make.

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