2024 House Races: Which congressional elections will be won by a Republican? [10K Subsidy]
183
12kṀ99k
resolved Dec 4
Resolved
YES
AK-00 Mary Peltola (D)
Resolved
NO
AL-02 NEW SEAT
Resolved
YES
AZ-01 David Schweikert (R) - Won by 0.88%
Resolved
YES
AZ-06 Juan Ciscomani (R) - Won by 1.50%
Resolved
YES
CA-03 Kevin Kiley (R) - Likely R
Resolved
NO
CA-09 Josh Harder (D)
Resolved
NO
CA-13 John Duarte (R) - Won by 0.42% - Full Toss-up
Resolved
YES
CA-22 David Valadao (R) - Won by 3.05%
Resolved
NO
CA-27 Mike Garcia (R) - Won by 6.48% - Full Toss-up
Resolved
YES
CA-40 Young Kim (R)
Resolved
YES
CA-41 Ken Calvert (R) - Won by 4.69%
Resolved
NO
CA-45 Michelle Steel (R) - Lean R
Resolved
NO
CA-47 OPEN (Porter) (D)
Resolved
NO
CA-49 Mike Levin (D)
Resolved
YES
CO-03 OPEN (Boebert) (R)
Resolved
YES
CO-08 Yadira Caraveo (D) - Won by 0.69%
Resolved
NO
CT-05 Jahana Hayes (D)
Resolved
NO
FL-09 Darren Soto (D)
Resolved
YES
FL-13 Anna Paulina Luna (R)
Resolved
NO
FL-23 Jared Moskowitz (D)

This market contains competitive US House Races. The current balance of power is 217 Republican Party members, 214 Democratic Party members, and 5 vacancies.

If a member of the Republican Party wins a house race, then that house race resolves YES in this market. If a member of the Democratic Party wins a race, then that race resolves NO.

If a race is won by someone who is not a member of either party, they will be considered to be a member of the major party they are expected to caucus with. For example, Bernie Sanders would be considered a Democrat and Justin Amash would be considered a Republican.

Races are listed in the format "[district name] [incumbent name] [incumbent party] [margin of victory of incumbent in 2022 election] [Ratings from Cook/Inside/Sabato]"

As of market creation, only the most competitive seats have their margin of victory listed. Additional information and additional races will be added to this market as we get closer to the election.

For additional analysis, you can find projections for these races at Race to The White House, The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball.

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