2024 House Races: Which congressional elections will be won by a Republican? [10K Subsidy]
43
284
12K
Dec 1
37%
AK-00 Mary Peltola (D)
5%
AL-02 NEW SEAT
49%
AZ-01 David Schweikert (R) - Won by 0.88%
56%
AZ-06 Juan Ciscomani (R) - Won by 1.50%
80%
CA-03 Kevin Kiley (R) - Likely R
10%
CA-09 Josh Harder (D)
38%
CA-13 John Duarte (R) - Won by 0.42% - Full Toss-up
47%
CA-22 David Valadao (R) - Won by 3.05%
63%
CA-27 Mike Garcia (R) - Won by 6.48% - Full Toss-up
76%
CA-40 Young Kim (R)
60%
CA-41 Ken Calvert (R) - Won by 4.69%
78%
CA-45 Michelle Steel (R) - Lean R
27%
CA-47 OPEN (Porter) (D)
8%
CA-49 Mike Levin (D)
74%
CO-03 OPEN (Boebert) (R)
37%
CO-08 Yadira Caraveo (D) - Won by 0.69%
24%
CT-05 Jahana Hayes (D)
10%
FL-09 Darren Soto (D)
80%
FL-13 Anna Paulina Luna (R)
8%
FL-23 Jared Moskowitz (D)

This market contains competitive US House Races. The current balance of power is 217 Republican Party members, 214 Democratic Party members, and 5 vacancies.

If a member of the Republican Party wins a house race, then that house race resolves YES in this market. If a member of the Democratic Party wins a race, then that race resolves NO.

If a race is won by someone who is not a member of either party, they will be considered to be a member of the major party they are expected to caucus with. For example, Bernie Sanders would be considered a Democrat and Justin Amash would be considered a Republican.

Races are listed in the format "[district name] [incumbent name] [incumbent party] [margin of victory of incumbent in 2022 election] [Ratings from Cook/Inside/Sabato]"

As of market creation, only the most competitive seats have their margin of victory listed. Additional information and additional races will be added to this market as we get closer to the election.

For additional analysis, you can find projections for these races at Race to The White House, The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball.

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