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I think it's safe to say this should resolve no at this point

Withdrawn (from 10 relevant states)

The embedded image that is intended to contain the Resolution Criteria does not render (HTTP error 404).

https://manifold.markets/GabrielTellez/which-nonmajor-candidate-for-us-pre?r=R2FicmllbFRlbGxleg

That last bullet (playing spoiler) is looking a lot more likely these days.

With the news about No Labels being a potential spoiler and seemingly having enough support to fit the criteria, maybe this should be a little higher. Of course, that all depends on whether they actually run a candidate.

See also

@StevenK Oops, looks like it didn't embed. See also

@StevenK Are you spamming this?

@StevenK I was trying to link this market, which seems relevant to me and not spam, but I think there may be a bug with the embedding.

@StevenK Yes, I am simply joking about it! 🤣 Appreciate the sharing and thank you.

How does this resolve if there's an independent candidate who meets one of the criteria, instead of a third party candidate?

@ManifoldMarkets I have the same question.