Who will be the next big online creator to join Manifold?
10
154
resolved Dec 26
0.6%
Trump
46%
Vitalik Buterin
1.2%
Caedrel
1.3%
Maya Higa
7%
DougDoug
1.4%
DisguisedToast
0.4%
Casemiro
0.4%
Felipe Neto
0.5%
Adam Something
0.5%
Daxflame
0.5%
Sabine Hossenfelder
0.5%
Robert Miles
0.5%
Steve Mould
0.5%
Tom Scott
0.5%
Veritasium
0.5%
Up and Atom
3%
Nate Silver
6%
Joe Weisenthal
12%
Noah Smith
6%
Ryan Petersen

To count they must:

  • Have proof of them having an account that they personally use, that was created after the creation of this market.

  • Account must be created after the first time they were submitted as an answer on this market.

  • Meet any one of the following size criteria:

    • 100k subs on Youtube

    • 50k followers on Twitch

    • 100k followers on Twitter

    • 250k followers on TikTok

    • 250k followers on Instagram

Please submit your own answers and try to get your favourite creators to join! I will keep extending the closing date of the market until someone who meets the criteria joins.

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Resolves to Rob Miles, who joined in August, before anyone else listed did.

https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/RobertSKMiles

On behalf of inactive creator (lol), I extended the closing date.

@Conflux This might be resolvable already? Hmm

@Conflux Reclosing for discussion...

@Conflux Yeah this has already happened, as various notable people joined for Manifest. Rob Miles is one example. But before resolving, it should be conclusively determined who joined first.

@zero has 400K subs on Youtube. But this account was already created so he can't count anymore I guess.

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