Who will be the next big online creator to join Manifold?

740Ṁ209

resolved Dec 26

100%0.5%

Robert Miles

10%Other

0.6%

Trump

46%

Vitalik Buterin

1.2%

Caedrel

1.3%

Maya Higa

DougDoug

1.4%

DisguisedToast

0.4%

Casemiro

0.4%

Felipe Neto

0.5%

Adam Something

0.5%

Daxflame

0.5%

Sabine Hossenfelder

0.5%

Steve Mould

0.5%

Tom Scott

0.5%

Veritasium

0.5%

Up and Atom

Nate Silver

Joe Weisenthal

12%

Noah Smith

To count they must:

Have proof of them having an account that they personally use, that was created after the creation of this market.
Account must be created after the first time they were submitted as an answer on this market.
Meet any one of the following size criteria:
- 100k subs on Youtube
- 50k followers on Twitch
- 100k followers on Twitter
- 250k followers on TikTok
- 250k followers on Instagram

Please submit your own answers and try to get your favourite creators to join! I will keep extending the closing date of the market until someone who meets the criteria joins.

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Resolves to Rob Miles, who joined in August, before anyone else listed did.

https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/RobertSKMiles

On behalf of inactive creator (lol), I extended the closing date.

@Conflux This might be resolvable already? Hmm

@Conflux Reclosing for discussion...

@Conflux Yeah this has already happened, as various notable people joined for Manifest. Rob Miles is one example. But before resolving, it should be conclusively determined who joined first.