China conducts Red Sea combat operations before 2040? | Manifold

China conducts Red Sea combat operations before 2040?

6

Ṁ100Ṁ188

2039

47%

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26

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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that China has conducted combat operations in the Red Sea before January 1st 2040.

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bought Ṁ30 YES

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/13/trump-iran-hormuz-strait-charge-reimburse.html

Trump proposes 20% toll on cargo through Strait of Hormuz; restarts Iran blockade

The Strait of Hormuz is a major oil shipping route and the epicenter of the U.S. and Israel's ongoing war with Iran.

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