Will China declare war on another country by 2030? | Manifold

Will China declare war on another country by 2030?

Plus

23

Ṁ877

2030

25%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if:

China makes a declaration of war by 2030.

Resolves NO if:

China doesn't make a declaration of war by 2030.

If for some reason China invades without declaring war, I will still resolve NO to remove ambiguity.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Friendly reminder that Taiwan is not another country from Beijing's perspective.

predicts NO

@BrunoParga and also that countries very rarely declare war these days anyway.

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?

If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will China fight a major land war by 2035?

Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?

Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?

Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?

Related questions

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?

Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?

Will China fight a major land war by 2035?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?

Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?

Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?

Will the USA fight a major land war by 2035?

If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?

Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules