Will China declare war on another country by 2030?
21
69
Ṁ792Ṁ430
2030
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if:
China makes a declaration of war by 2030.
Resolves NO if:
China doesn't make a declaration of war by 2030.
If for some reason China invades without declaring war, I will still resolve NO to remove ambiguity.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
25% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
27% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
32% chance
Will the US and China go to war this century?
38% chance
Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?
58% chance
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
66% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
25% chance
Will there be a war between the US and China this century?
37% chance
Will China fight a major land war by 2035?
30% chance
Will there be an armed conflict between China and the US before the end of 2030?
22% chance