Nobody will find an ai prediction that was correct | Manifold

Nobody will find an ai prediction that was correct

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Reopening because the last question received minimal replies. So far there have been two examples. Gpt being multimodal, which is fine because that's a trivial result. Another is gpt passing the coding test on triplebyte. Triplebyte is not considered reputable or a gold standard in any way hence this is basically unaccredited.

Let's see if anyone can find any examples.

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predicted NO

Here's an even better one. Will a ChatGPT clone be open-sourced by 2025? | Manifold Markets

predicted NO

@ForrestTaylor Will anyone be able to make ChatGPT draw an ASCII art of a penis by the end of 2023, without drawing ASCII in the prompt? | Manifold Markets

@ForrestTaylor those are trolling and marketing

predicted NO

@MakrIngrajam These are two AI predictions. Oh, this is a sock account for Mark Ingraham? I'm not doing this again.

@ForrestTaylor OK fine

Will OpenAI’s DALL-E be made commercially available by the end of 2022? | Manifold Markets
This market never dipped below 70%

@ForrestTaylor that's selling something you already have

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