Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?

An AI is trustworthy-ish on Manifold by 2030?

Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?

By 2030, there will be a prediction market w/ 1M+ MAU that resolves predictions using an AI model exclusively

Will AI wipe out Manifold by 2030?

Which predictions on Manifold are the most important for society (at scale) to be calibrated on?

Will either of the Hard Fork hosts make new predictions on Manifold in 2024?

Will Manifold provide native functionality for prediction competitions?

Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets in 2024?

Which prediction market/forecasting site do you use the most (besides Manifold)?