Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if President Trump attends the Supreme Court oral arguments on the birthright citizenship case (Trump v. Barbara) scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 10:00 a.m. ET. Resolution will be confirmed by official Supreme Court records, credible news reporting, or video documentation of Trump's presence in the courtroom during the arguments. The market resolves NO if Trump does not attend.

Background

The case concerns the constitutionality of a January 2025 executive order Trump signed that seeks to limit birthright citizenship to people who have at least one parent who is a U.S. citizen or a legal permanent resident. There is no official record of any sitting president having attended oral arguments at the Supreme Court, and the Court agreed in December to hear the case after lower courts ruled against Trump's plan.

Considerations

Trump's presence would be unprecedented and "certainly raises the temperature of the argument," as presidents have historically avoided attending oral arguments because there is an understanding that the court's decisions apply to the presidency as an institution, not to just an individual president's time in office. Trump previously indicated he might attend oral arguments in a tariffs case but ultimately did not go.

This description was generated by AI.