Background

Trump signed an executive order that would deny automatic citizenship to children born in the U.S. to non-citizen parents. A federal judge has already issued a two-week temporary restraining order against it, calling it "blatantly unconstitutional." The order directly challenges the 14th Amendment, which states that "all persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States."

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if:

• A federal court issues a final ruling that overturns or invalidates Trump's executive order on birthright citizenship

• The Supreme Court strikes down the executive order

This market will resolve NO if:

• Courts uphold the executive order as constitutional

• The executive order remains in effect without being overturned by courts through December 31, 2027

The market will resolve N/A if:

• The order is withdrawn or rescinded before courts make a final ruling

• The order is superseded by new legislation before courts make a final ruling

• Update 2025-01-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification:

  • The executive order must be struck down for children of both legal and illegal immigrants.

  • A partial striking down (e.g., only for one group) would not count as overturning the order.