Will Meta's Threads have 50M monthly active users by the end of 2023?
10
72
แน251แน310
resolved Jul 7
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Meta is launching a new app. It's called Threads.
This market resolves to YES if by the end of 2023, it hits 50M MAUs (if they disclose DAUs, I'll consider the DAU/MAU ratio of the family of apps, it usually hovers around 67%)
If Meta doesn't disclose that at any point, I'll rely on my judgement, using estimates of sell-side of investment banks like Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and others.
In case of doubt, I may wait until Q4'2023 Meta Earnings calls at the begging of 2024 to conclude.
Nonetheless, this market may require significant judgement and therefore I won't bet.
Related market
Get แน200 play money
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน27 | |
| 2 | แน21 | |
| 3 | แน14 | |
| 4 | แน10 | |
| 5 | แน5 |
More related questions
Related questions
Will Threads have more daily active users than Twitter by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Threads overtake X in daily active users by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Twitter have more users than Meta Threads in December 2025?
82% chance
Will Meta's Threads have an AI chatbot by 2025?
49% chance
Will Meta's Threads have community boards/spaces/groups/segments/subs by 2025?
75% chance
Will Meta's Threads have a karma system similar to reddit by 2030?
37% chance
Will Threads have >10M DAUs in two years?
28% chance
Will Meta discontinue development of Threads by Jan 1 2025?
11% chance
Will Meta release an API for Threads in 2024?
88% chance
Will Threads have >100k DAUs in two years?
70% chance