
Will Meta's new decentralized text social media app have >10M DAUs in two years?
5
closes 2024
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ26 +160.1%
New probability
41% +6%
techcrunch / platformer / poorly-sourced rumor of june launch
Note that 'DAU' means 'whatever daily active user metric they release', there are many ways to define and measure that. Resolves N/A if no metrics like that are available, but it has launched. resolves NO if it hasn't launched
Get Ṁ500 play money
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