![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FJxktbHhfxd.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D1f0222c9-45a2-4188-a180-6078b2f37c44&w=3840&q=75)
This market has a 1% probability of being resolved to YES on 2024 election day.
Basic
35
Ṁ10kNov 6
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I won't bet on this market. Closer to the election day I'll propose a method for the resolution that won't rely on people trusting my Python algorithm.
To clarify (Apr 13th 2023): this market resolves to NO otherwise
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
49% chance
This market has a 80% chance of resolving N/A, a 15% chance of resolving YES, and a 5% chance of resolving NO.
75% chance
This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.
54% chance
Will Trump Win 2024 Election AND [Major Market] Resolve YES?
Will Biden Win 2024 Election OR [Major Market] Resolve YES?
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026
49% chance
This market will resolve to the percent of the popular vote the democratic candidate gets in 2024
48% chance
This market has a 5% chance of resolving YES, and otherwise stays open forever
70% chance
The probability of this market resolving YES is equal to y’all’s prediction.
50% chance
This Question Resolves YES Iff The Probability At Close Is Over 50% XOR Joe Biden Wins The 2024 Election
55% chance