This market has a 1% probability of being resolved to YES on 2024 election day.
43
1.1kṀ11kresolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I won't bet on this market. Closer to the election day I'll propose a method for the resolution that won't rely on people trusting my Python algorithm.
To clarify (Apr 13th 2023): this market resolves to NO otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ187 | |
| 2 | Ṁ98 | |
| 3 | Ṁ45 | |
| 4 | Ṁ27 | |
| 5 | Ṁ20 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump Win 2024 Election AND [Major Market] Resolve YES?
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026
49% chance
Will Biden Win 2024 Election OR [Major Market] Resolve YES?
What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]
This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.
51% chance
This market has a 1/1000 chance of resolving YES each day.
99% chance
This market stays open forever.
72% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030
48% chance