This market has a 1/1000 chance of resolving YES each day.

969Ṁ48k

Dec 31

99%

chance

ALL

I'll roll a 1000 sided die once per day, if it lands on the number 1 I'll resolve YES

Market can't resolve NO

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Meta-markets

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Meta-Forecasting

Self-resolving

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This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026

49% chance

This market resolves YES once the probability has remained below 1% for 24 hours.

51% chance

This market stays open forever.

72% chance

This market has a 5% chance of resolving YES, and otherwise stays open forever

78% chance

This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2030

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You should just resolve this market 50%.

@Mrdudeguy ...why? That seems like it'd be a very clear misresolution.

@Tulip he's not even a NO holder so I'm slightly confused

@jim Not a NO holder, just a based red-pilled Chad.

@jim Also, why are there any no holders in the first place? Are they waiting for a drop so they can sell on a dip?

rolling off screen now. Rolled die 64 times. Didn't hit a 1.

Is this market dead, @jim?

Hilariously, one could make the argument for N/A since this market was not rolling once per day (unless it was being rolled "off-camera").

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@jim your random number is: 812

Salt: gttcbxfs8v7, round: 5270651 (signature 852c0735190f45be682764b81c319fc838fbed5de556075fb452e56cfa0bc6bc8b7816395a24e71690428fcec68880f70859956f74cd9956c178461725e4c151d75e7493396e9be42b00d1ec1a336dde2ddea4652b5f959dc32a96c9a0988239)

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@jim your random number is: 981

Salt: teiwoklf6bn, round: 5270651 (signature 852c0735190f45be682764b81c319fc838fbed5de556075fb452e56cfa0bc6bc8b7816395a24e71690428fcec68880f70859956f74cd9956c178461725e4c151d75e7493396e9be42b00d1ec1a336dde2ddea4652b5f959dc32a96c9a0988239)

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@jim your random number is: 619

Salt: ho6hkoy0997, round: 5270651 (signature 852c0735190f45be682764b81c319fc838fbed5de556075fb452e56cfa0bc6bc8b7816395a24e71690428fcec68880f70859956f74cd9956c178461725e4c151d75e7493396e9be42b00d1ec1a336dde2ddea4652b5f959dc32a96c9a0988239)

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@jim you asked for a random integer between 1 and 1000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5270649 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5270651, salt: gttcbxfs8v7.

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@jim you asked for a random integer between 1 and 1000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5270649 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5270651, salt: teiwoklf6bn.

@FairlyRandom 1000

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@jim you asked for a random integer between 1 and 1000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5270649 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5270651, salt: ho6hkoy0997.

@FairlyRandom 1000

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@jim your random number is: 32

Salt: b2i9af35u7k, round: 5264421 (signature b3905fd4b7f46535ce75aad99d5f8ad2fe245f897ba18899cafc94f0fee1b5cb11d1ee3ebc7fad1aca54104544f4048313a2aa35f40566d7afc9ba0a882ea5a7d5400535e823fe7038e9b800b6828fd104ba64d41962f5276bc6b295b454c137)

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@jim your random number is: 864

Salt: zn7pymlzqcc, round: 5264420 (signature 807d6b0fc83d71d4d11d5b013f99d531e840b5d369a97a8fe998a7d9e696554dfbea9774f65553e13910b59f9483db1e04159b7f15f413ee5428ca0c618bd5af3161ee79d0e6add651ac171a8c43f4db184096298ae5db4d9f48c1df911fcd34)

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@jim your random number is: 479

Salt: wvoc2g53jo, round: 5264420 (signature 807d6b0fc83d71d4d11d5b013f99d531e840b5d369a97a8fe998a7d9e696554dfbea9774f65553e13910b59f9483db1e04159b7f15f413ee5428ca0c618bd5af3161ee79d0e6add651ac171a8c43f4db184096298ae5db4d9f48c1df911fcd34)

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@jim your random number is: 969

Salt: bipsesaocbn, round: 5264420 (signature 807d6b0fc83d71d4d11d5b013f99d531e840b5d369a97a8fe998a7d9e696554dfbea9774f65553e13910b59f9483db1e04159b7f15f413ee5428ca0c618bd5af3161ee79d0e6add651ac171a8c43f4db184096298ae5db4d9f48c1df911fcd34)

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@jim your random number is: 344

Salt: bjs4qxnhdz, round: 5264420 (signature 807d6b0fc83d71d4d11d5b013f99d531e840b5d369a97a8fe998a7d9e696554dfbea9774f65553e13910b59f9483db1e04159b7f15f413ee5428ca0c618bd5af3161ee79d0e6add651ac171a8c43f4db184096298ae5db4d9f48c1df911fcd34)

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@jim your random number is: 286

Salt: 864xifbsop7, round: 5264420 (signature 807d6b0fc83d71d4d11d5b013f99d531e840b5d369a97a8fe998a7d9e696554dfbea9774f65553e13910b59f9483db1e04159b7f15f413ee5428ca0c618bd5af3161ee79d0e6add651ac171a8c43f4db184096298ae5db4d9f48c1df911fcd34)

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@jim your random number is: 99

Salt: i7o2bqhh0i, round: 5264420 (signature 807d6b0fc83d71d4d11d5b013f99d531e840b5d369a97a8fe998a7d9e696554dfbea9774f65553e13910b59f9483db1e04159b7f15f413ee5428ca0c618bd5af3161ee79d0e6add651ac171a8c43f4db184096298ae5db4d9f48c1df911fcd34)

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@jim your random number is: 615

Salt: hn66kjqh91b, round: 5264420 (signature 807d6b0fc83d71d4d11d5b013f99d531e840b5d369a97a8fe998a7d9e696554dfbea9774f65553e13910b59f9483db1e04159b7f15f413ee5428ca0c618bd5af3161ee79d0e6add651ac171a8c43f4db184096298ae5db4d9f48c1df911fcd34)