@jim your random number is: 277

Salt: 6anwxt5vtf6, round: 5074145 (signature b0e8aae095e570df804d73254fa87b61f54146d8d933c516b2cd79586ea2396b591a5b08268f681662aaaf0fec3974c703bf91c7bbdf7b8a99ce73a2c6715dc2665bb4f85787f1690f817222d77ca3597a692699fe6e7a50ad10fbf9a2fd89dc)

@jim you asked for a random integer between 1 and 1000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5074143 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5074145, salt: 6anwxt5vtf6.

@FairlyRandom 1000

Any theories on why there's no time discount on this market?

@FergusArgyll my theory: alyssa and dylan F bought yes without time discounting the value of the shares

(which is fine tbc if you won't need that mana by the time you get it loaned back or the market resolves)

@Bayesian right, time discount goes away if someone buys YES because you can't make money buying NO...

But I was wondering if the "each day" had a psychological effect on anyone or maybe something else.

@Bayesian I can't speak for Dylan F, but, in my case: correct. I've got enough mana stockpiled from the era of Particularly Huge Streak Rewards, relative to the amount of mana I have time to find good bets to make with in higher-yield markets nowadays, that the live alternative to bets like this is "mana sits unused and gives me no returns at all" rather than "mana gets used for other higher-value bets". (This wasn't the case before loans were restored; but it has been since then.)

@Tulip speaking of "interest rates are a function of the time you have to find them"—if anyone knows of markets resolving within 1-2 years that are 100% locks but are not at 99% due to interest rates, please link them for me! if something is actually presented to me and i don't have to take the time to search it out and find it, I would be happy to place mana for ~2 year risk-free ROI of ~1%

@Ziddletwix https://manifold.markets/jim/will-the-sp-500-pass-100000-in-by-e?r=amlt

@jim your random number is: 482

Salt: 56af15zxdn9, round: 5071173 (signature 839d0aa08451078e9aee952d684e4f1d19f7d312de9786ee5a236c7404972b56aac9efb05e1ca0151bf77792e87d7719116d90c6cb3ca14dfbc915752eaabfe8c43933074a120485d84c8d9d1a787c6e123b40cda1955bf0501daa441a167acb)

@jim you asked for a random integer between 1 and 1000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5071171 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5071173, salt: 56af15zxdn9.

@FairlyRandom 1000

@jim your random number is: 966

Salt: g9s8rj0upud, round: 5068865 (signature b8a91134c6fba7f6b76fe00618ed1ae9fcd67d993d43ef34e62c7bbc8f8417ee15bb396a918930e62887ba6cb9f34a050b6569d9e2fbca10fc8ec1eab66dace4f213ced1f3eb719cd44992e4646777bfe9879121c94ec578782fe20c57303362)

@jim you asked for a random integer between 1 and 1000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5068863 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5068865, salt: g9s8rj0upud.

@FairlyRandom 1000

jim yearns for the ironman

That’s a lot of labour for a market thats gonna get like 20 traders

@Bayesian im sure my appreciative traders will tip me healthily at market resolution

@jim your random number is: 78

Salt: 639py1c48ok, round: 5065707 (signature 8f40e0c1f9eaee5909b96e3fdc182b8b23e3be6b1951426704dd784365893ed123e74e0b8d7fdd43fd51e3c1730931df08a26f34b731d28f68b1efe388e04ebc5b98ff3344b53ce9f240696f34334b9061184cc083ab3171b4838fb462afe760)

@jim you asked for a random integer between 1 and 1000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5065705 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5065707, salt: 639py1c48ok.

@FairlyRandom 1000