Will Bostrom's "Superintelligence" exceed its current popularity peak before 2028?
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2027
15%
chance

According to Google Trends interest in Nick Bostrom's book "Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies" peaked in August 2014.

Will "Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies" exceed this popularity peak before 2028?
[Edit: To be more explicit, the question is: will the blue line on the Google Trends graph for given parameters go above the 2014 peak before 2028]

[Edit 2: This question is about the graph displayed by the Google Trends in a web browser on PC - Google Trends displays different graph on mobile devices]

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So the real question is... will this book gain as much traction as it had around when it was published

@MrLuke255 The question is: will the blue line on the graph go above the 2014 peak (the point marked in the red circle) before 2028.

predicts YES

@Metastable Technically it can't go above, because then it won't have a value of 100 😅

@MrLuke255 The graph is normalized for the new highest value - the new highest point assumes value of 100, therefore the 2014 peak will have lower value if book becomes more popular than at its peak in 2014.

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