Will Russia invade any NATO country before the end of 2030?
14
15
Ṁ428Ṁ127
resolved Sep 15
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves as yes in case of military invasion (troops or bombing by military).
Economic, cyberwarfare, cultural etc actions are excluded.
Russian army pretending to not be from the Russia (like in Crimea) is included.
https://manifold.markets/BruceGrugett/will-russia-invade-poland-before-th may be of interest for short term ("Will Russia invade Poland before the end of June 2022?").
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Sorry, on review of what I am doing I decided to shutdown Manifold account. Resolving my markets as NA seems the fairest solution to people active on them.
- I decided to spend my time in a better way and Manifold is one of
things that I decided to eliminate in the ongoing owerview
- Daily bonus was effective, to the point of being scary, intrusive and
unwelcome
- Inability to block and hide unwanted markets/groups makes it
obnoxious to see some markets. Every time I read title of
https://manifold.markets/Yev/will-scott-alexander-write-an-acx-b
I die a bit inside and question what I am doing with my life
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