Which countries will Russia invade by the end of 2030?
20
Ṁ1.2kṀ3.6k2030
14%
Estonia
13%
Lithuania
12%
Latvia
12%
Moldova
12%
Norway (including Svalbard)
11%
Finland
10%
Poland
10%
Denmark (including Greenland)
9%
Japan
8%
Sweden
5%
United States
3%
Germany
An invasion involves forceful entry of ground troops into an occupied and defended territory. Disputes over unoccupied islands, fishing or deep-sea mining rights, etc. don't count. Bombing, drones, saboteurs, assassins don't count. If the Danish were to trade Greenland to Russia to keep the United States from taking it, that doesn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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How about little green men, that is people without insignia or standardized equipment or uniforms, and without state acknowledgement. Would that count as saboteurs, even if they did partisan type warfare? More precisely, would Ukraine have triggered 2014 or 2022?
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