Russia attacks a NATO member before 2031?
5
100Ṁ832030
23%
chance
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This market assesses the probability of Russia initiating a military incursion into any NATO member state before the end of 2030. An incursion is defined as unauthorized military entry into the territory of a NATO member. Resolution will be based on credible reports from major news outlets such as Reuters and the Associated Press.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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